Release Notes — Daily Dew Point

March 22, 2026

Latest

Overnight temperature advisory — Dashboard now warns when overnight temperatures may exceed the next day's forecast, helping you anticipate when the daily high could be set overnight rather than during the day.
Daily model retraining — The ML model now retrains every morning with the previous day's data, instead of weekly. Predictions adapt faster to changing weather patterns.
Enhanced prediction model — Added new atmospheric features to improve accuracy on days with sharp temperature swings.
WIN/MISS tracking — ML bucket predictions are now scored against actual results daily, building a transparent track record.
Improved Kalshi integration — Live market data now loads reliably with updated API support.

Earlier this month

ML bucket predictions — Launched machine learning model that predicts the most likely 2-degree Kalshi bucket for today and tomorrow.
Top-2 bucket display — Shows the two most likely buckets with confidence percentages, giving you a realistic view of the odds.
Bet signal indicators — STRONG BET, LEAN, and SKIP labels based on model confidence.
Los Angeles support — Added LA (LAX) as a second city with full forecast tracking and ML predictions.
Server-side ensemble learning — Forecast weights now learn from historical accuracy and are shared across all users.

Foundation

Forecast tracking — Began logging every NWS and AccuWeather forecast update with timestamps.
Bias correction — Built weighted ensemble that adjusts forecasts based on historical accuracy.
Kalshi market display — Live market leaders and settlement results.
Historical accuracy stats — Bucket hit rate and forecast accuracy metrics.

Bug Fixes

Fixed Kalshi market data not displaying due to API field update.
ML predictions now correctly reflect settled results when daily high is revised overnight.
Resolved data pipeline issues affecting prediction accuracy.